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用美军来解决美债问题？特朗普暗示最终手段，大国必须做好准备了,军武太狼,原创 用美军来解决美债问题？特朗普暗示最终手段，大国必须做好准备了_我的网站

A |     Six days after a brutal attack by armed Hamas militants on Israeli civilians, Israel ordered an evacuation of more than 1 million Palestinians in northern Gaza ahead of what could be an unprecedented ground offensive there against Hamas."We are going to destroy Hamas infrastructures, Hamas headquarters, Hamas military," vowed Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant as airstrikes were underway.The U.S. and other nations have repeatedly warned Israel to follow the "rules of war."But what are they? And will they prevent civilians from being hurt?Here's what to know about international humanitarian laws and how they might apply in the Israeli-Hamas conflict in Gaza.

Is Israel bound by the rules of war?

Yes.Israel has promised to abide by international humanitarian law including those under the Geneva Convention that seeks to minimize the impact on civilians, provide aid to the wounded on the battlefield, and not to mistreat prisoners of war.In general, the U.S. military and Israeli Defense Force also rely on similar rules of engagement in military operations.Israel insists it follows the rules of war and always has.But there is disagreement by international groups about exactly what qualifies as a violation in a country's quest to defend itself against terror attacks, as well as whether Israel could be prosecuted through the International Criminal Court -- an entity Israel doesn't recognize.Officials at the United Nations and European Union have accused Israel of already violating its promise not to harm civilians by cutting water and electricity to all of Gaza residents, including to hospitals. They also say it's impossible to ensure the safety of so many civilians by giving only 24 hours to evacuate to avoid the fighting.Palestinian health authorities estimate 1,799 civilians have been killed in Israeli airstrikes, including 583 children, following Hamas' attacks that have killed at least 1,300 Israelis.Ravina Shamdasani, spokesperson for the Office of the U.N. High Commissioner for Human rights, said Hamas' brutality doesn't "liberate" Israel from adhering to international humanitarian laws."It is absolutely crucial that Israeli leaders and global leaders make it unambiguously clear that international humanitarian law is an obligation. It is not optional, and that military operations must be conducted in full compliance with international law," she said.President Joe Biden said he delivered that message directly to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this week, later telling reporters "that it is really important that Israel, with all the anger and frustration … they operate by the rules of war.""And there are rules of war," Biden added.

How would the rules apply in this conflict? Would civilians be spared?

Avoiding harm to civilians though can fall into a gray area, particularly when it comes to a massive ground operation unfolding on a remarkably narrow strip of land. Gaza is among the most populated areas on Earth, roughly 7.5 miles at its widest and 25 miles long with some 2 million inhabitants.Eric Oehlerich, a retired Navy SEAL and ABC News contributor, said that even with sophisticated weaponry, such an operation would be extraordinarily difficult to carry out with no civilians harmed."There isn't a force in the world that can deal with 40,000 (enemy) soldiers interspersed with civilians in that densely populated area" and have "zero" civilian deaths, said Oehlerich."It's impossible," he added.One question will be what constitutes a valid military target, said Mick Mulroy, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East and retired CIA paramilitary operations officer.Israel says that Hamas -- which doesn't abide by humanitarian laws in its deliberate attack on civilians last week -- uses Palestinian civilians and hospitals as shields."If Hamas holds up in a building -- whether it's a hospital or mosque -- it becomes a valid military target," said Mulroy, also an ABC contributor. "That said, every reasonable step should be taken to eliminate or reduce civilian casualties (and) has to be done."

What does all this mean for hostages held by Hamas and US citizens inside Gaza?

Oehlerich, who has participated in military operations to free hostages, said getting those hostages out using military force will also be extraordinarily tough. That's because Hamas will likely have gone to great lengths to hide the hostages, including possibly rigging secret tunnels or even the hostages themselves with explosives.Oehlerich said success is more likely to come through backchannel negotiations with countries like Egypt and Qatar.Israeli officials say its special operations forces have been operating inside Gaza in past days trying to locate hostages. The US is also working the Red Cross and the UN to establish "safe zones" for foreign nationals to leave, including Americans located within Palestine, according to a senior State Department official.Beyond that, questions remain on how many innocent people will be hurt or killed inside Gaza. When asked by a reporter Friday what worries him most about the Israeli ground invasion, Biden had a one-word answer."Death," he said.ABC News' Shannon Crawford, William Gretsky and Mary Bruce contributed to this report.。    随着8月18日，美债正式突破40万亿美元的大关，这几天的“华尔街”，着实一股风雨欲来的味道。        无数专家冒了出来，8月22日，大名鼎鼎的《华盛顿邮报》给了份专栏，直言“在数十年的挥霍后，清算的时刻要到来了”；同一天，《CNN》也“不甘示弱”，大谈全球债券市场的利率问题。    当然，专家的总结距离普通人太远，很多金融术语就不是一般人能理解的。用大白话讲，美国的国债突破40万亿美元，到底严重在什么地方？    最主要就是预期问题。26年3月，美国国债攀升至39万亿美元，当时特朗普政府发话，预计在28年前后才会突破40万亿。结果仅仅5个月过去，政府就被打脸了。        债务增长得如此之快，有没有感受到一种危机感？什么时候是债务增长最快的？自然是收入渐渐跟不上支出，开始拆东墙补西墙的时候。    当然，目前也仅仅只是危机感，还算不上迫在眉睫的现实危机。    很多人，特别是一些媒体朋友只是看到了40万亿的美债就觉得美国要完蛋了。

B | 尤其是看到美债已经达到他们去年GDP的1.3倍之多时，非常武断地表示美国已经还不上了，这多少有些想当然。    美国真的还不上美债，最先会发生什么事情？是全球性的金融危机爆发，并且破坏力相比2008年犹有过之。换言之，哪天醒来发现全球大乱了，那才是美国真的还不上钱了。        美元作为世界通用货币，有的时候效果就是这么霸道。    事实上，负债这事对任何一个国家来说都是相当正常的事情，而达到GDP1倍之多的负债率，在全球范围内也并不算少见。甚至可以说，和一些欠债大户比起来，美国已经算欠的少了。    问题的关键在于什么地方？在于美国赚的钱，能不能覆盖掉自己的利息支出，以及会不会影响到美债的还款计划。

C | 其实深入研究后就会发现，在这个方面，美国一直做得挺老道的。    毕竟，40万亿美元又不是要求美国一次性拿出来，这笔钱的偿还可是按年计算的，真分摊到每个还款日，暂时，美国的压力还不算大。        那么，为什么前文的美国媒体、各类金融专家对这个问题如此敏感呢？简单来说，现在的美国，压力还不大，可未来呢？恰如开头所说，美债的增长速度远超政府预期，这是不是能说明，美国政府正在慢慢失去对自己债务增长速度的控制力？    现在增加一万亿美债只要5个月，那下一次是不是只要4个月多一些？再慢慢就是4个月增长一万亿，再到3个月、2个月……    这事不加以控制，美国最终就会步入到被债务拖垮的阶段。

D | 而如今的美债，距离这个临界点愈发接近了。用个生动的比喻，可以把如今的美债市场比作是天边的乌云。        乌云密布，甚至透出隐隐的青黑色，下雨是十拿九稳的事情。可在第一滴雨落下前，谁能准确判断这个时间点？如今的美国，差不多就是处于乌云即将密布的阶段，要是不能在此之前刹住车，那恐怕再等上片刻就真的要“下雨了”，也就是真的要爆发债务危机了。    当然，美国政府对此也不是没有准备。21日，特朗普在接受采访时放话，不排除会动用军队的方式来解决美债问题，他甚至表示，这是“美国的终极干预手段”。    军队怎么用来解决债务问题？这话翻译一下，其实就是美国要对全球下手了，要用自己的军队去别国抢钱了。    比较直观的例子就是委内瑞拉，手握石油，算得上是一介资源大国。但美国的实力比委强，于是动用特种部队强掠了马杜罗后，直接用武力逼剩下的人投降。如今的代总统罗德里格斯，不就是美国安插在委内瑞拉的一名傀儡？        当然，笔者一直认为美国的下一个目标不太可能还是委内瑞拉这样的小国。虽然有资源，但资源卖出去也需要时间，不如直接抢一些大户来的快和方便。    比如说，美国的一些盟友，其实一直在被美国强取豪夺着。

E | 以北约为例，去年万斯在北约开会大骂全欧洲，随后要求欧洲各国提高自己的军费支出。可如今欧洲的军工业什么德行？完全是烂泥扶不上墙。    这多出来的军费能用在哪？不就只能用来采购美国提供的军火？所以，名义上是提高军费，实则就是给美国上贡。

F | 不上贡？没看特朗普后续开始嚷嚷着要退出北约了吗？        你不交保护费，我就不保护你，这也叫用军队来解决债务问题。美国，其实对自己的这些盟友们，从来不会心慈手软。

G | 结合刚刚发生的美加贸易冲突，或许，美国又要对自己的盟友们动刀了。返回，查看更多。

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Published on:08:06:30